Wednesday 21 December 2011

Objective of Fundamental Analysis: To determine a company's intrinsic value or its growth prospects.

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Fundamental analysis is forward looking even though the data used is by and large historical.  


The objective of fundamental analysis is to determine:
- a company's intrinsic value, or
- its growth prospects.  


This intrinsic value can be compared to the current value of the company as measured by the share price.  If the shares are trading at less than the intrinsic value then the shares may be seen as good value.


Many people use fundamental analysis to select a company to invest in, and technical analysis to help make their buy and sell decisions.


The analysis of an individual company has two components:

-  The 'story' - what the company does, what its outlook is
-  The 'numbers' - the financials of the company, balance sheet and income statement and ratio analysis.

Always remember that behind all the numbers is a real business run by real people producing real goods and services, this is the part we call "the story".

It is unlikely that you will need to do the number crunching for every company, your time will be more profitably spent developing the company story.  Balance sheets and ratio analysis, both historical and forecast, can be obtained from either a full service or discount stockbroker.


Before trying to leap into the calculations behind fundamental analysis there aresome basic questions that are worth considering as a starting point:

  1. Where is the growth in the company coming from?
  2. Is the growth being achieved organically or through acquisition?
  3. Is turnover keeping pace with the sector and with competitors?
  4. What about the profit margin - is it growing?  Is it too high compared to competitors?  If it is too high then new competitors could enter on price reducing margins.  Low earnings could suggest control of the cost base has been lost or factors outside the company's control are squeezing margins.
  5. To what extent do profits reflect one-off events?
  6. Will profits be sustainable over the long term?

Companies are multidimensional.  For example, debt funding may have increased - this may be a positive move if the funds produce new productive assets.



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The objective of fundamental analysis is to determine a company's intrinsic value or its growth prospects.

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